What They Are Saying: State of the California Senate Race
July 12, 2010

July 12, 2010
Contact:         Andrea Saul
Jessica Hsiang

Political Experts And The Media Have Noticed Boxer's Sliding Position In The Polls:

Field Poll's Mark DiCamillo Has Claimed That Boxer Is More Vulnerable Than Ever Before. "DiCamillo's done 43 polls on Boxer over the years. He says she is more vulnerable than ever before." (Mark Matthews, "Senate Seat Race Approaching Pivotal Moment," KGO ABC 7, abclocal.go.com [1], 7/9/10)
NBC LA's Joe Matthews: "Put simply, the polls show that Boxer is weak, with more voters having a negative than positive opinion of her." (Joe Mathews, "Boxer In The Box," NBC LA's "Prop Zero" Blog, www.nbclosangeles.com [2], 7/9/10)
KGO's Mark Matthews: "The polling numbers show Boxer's job approval rating has slipped since January. More voters now hold an unfavorable view of Boxer at 52 percent, compared with 41 percent favorable." (Mark Matthews, "Senate Seat Race Approaching Pivotal Moment," KGO ABC 7, abclocal.go.com [1], 7/9/10)

KUSI's Dan Plante:
"Republican Senate candidate Carly Fiorina is winning favor right with California votes, while the long-time incumbent Democrat Barbara Boxer's supporters are apparently leaving her in large numbers." (KUSI's "News," 7/8/10)

UC San Diego's Thad Kousser:
"[Boxer] wasn't really as focused on bringing home the bacon in California. … So I think she's trying to get to rid of that reputation." (Maeve Reston, "Barbara Boxer Strikes Familiar Theme And Touts Value Of Incumbents," Los Angeles Times, 7/8/10)

The Washington Post's Chris Cillizza: "Most worrisome for Boxer in the new poll is her job approval rating: 48 percent of likely voters polled said they disapprove of her performance, while 42 percent approve. That's the lowest rating Boxer has ever received in the 43 surveys since the Field Poll began testing her job approval. It's also the first time more voters disapprove of Boxer's performance than approve." (Chris Cillizza, "Boxer Leads Fiorina, But Approval Rating Plummets," The Washington Post's "The Fix" Blog, voices.washingtonpost.com [3], 7/8/10)

USA Today's Catalina Camia:
"More than a year ago, Boxer had a wide lead over Fiorina in a hypothetical matchup. But in the latest survey, one key difference for Boxer: A majority of likely voters have a negative view of the three-term senator." (Catalina Camia , "USA Today: Poll: Barbara Boxer Slightly Lead Carly Fiorina In CA Senate Race," USA Today's "On Politics" Blog, content.usatoday.com [4], 7/8/10)

NPR's Ken Rudin: "[P]olling is showing her battle with Carly Fiorina (R) pretty much even steven. I'm moving this from Democrat Favored to Tossup for now." (Ken Rudin, "2010 Senate Rating: 11 Seats Seen As Tossups; Gop With At Least 3 Pickups," NPR's "Political Junkie" Blog, www.npr.org [5], 7/9/10)

The Wall Street Journal's Allysia Finley: "Though President Obama remains popular in California, with a nearly 60% approval rating, Ms. Boxer is much less so. Her approval rating hasn't budged much over 40 despite two recent visits by the president to raise money and campaign for her." (Allysia Finley, "Shadow Boxer," The Wall Street Journal's "Political Diary," 7/8/10)

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich: "Most interesting upset? That's really a great question. I think it may be Carly Fiorina beating Boxer. … Because Boxer has always had an ability to come back and savage and distort her opponents. And I think that in Fiorina, she may have an opponent who is smart enough and disciplined enough that she can't do it. And if she can't, I think Boxer's probably gone." (Fox News' "On The Record With Greta Van Susteren," 7/9/10)

Hugh Hewitt: "The momentum behind Carly Fiorina is large and growing…" (Hugh Hewitt, "Beating Barbara Boxer," Hugh Hewitt's "Hewitt Blog," www.hughhewitt.com [6], 7/9/10)

MSNBC's Chris Matthews: "Big trouble brewing for Senator Barbara Boxer out in California. Check out the latest Field Poll. Senator Boxer has just a three-point lead over Republican challenger Carly Fiorina. Just 47 to 44. Boxer's under 50 by the way. That's not a good number for re-elect. What's worse for her, she's about even in job approval." (MSNBC's "Hardball," 7/8/10)